Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.671334 5.316328 6.026495 6.867822 7.839133 8.927411 10.242079
2025-04-13 3.729504 4.550273 5.524837 6.772370 8.334123 10.233942 12.734271
2025-04-20 3.277033 4.209189 5.379885 6.968410 9.083445 11.824544 15.681611
2025-04-27 2.939712 3.936277 5.246244 7.110771 9.723204 13.292935 18.607970
2025-05-04 2.719619 3.775418 5.219476 7.362979 10.504970 15.005876 22.057222
2025-05-11 2.412631 3.452332 4.922766 7.184557 10.630266 15.770839 24.187799
2025-05-18 2.182616 3.210285 4.708645 7.089786 10.848445 16.670985 26.605768
2025-05-25 1.993082 3.006171 4.525105 7.012618 11.070608 17.581401 29.128999
2025-06-01 1.820485 2.809628 4.331061 6.892559 11.200418 18.341399 31.473988
2025-06-08 1.664516 2.623836 4.134639 6.744369 11.259667 18.976875 33.662205
2025-06-15 1.612875 2.599405 4.192055 7.018675 12.058557 20.957499 38.522951
2025-06-22 1.525544 2.507954 4.129645 7.078963 12.482891 22.311831 42.374658
2025-06-29 1.425687 2.388753 4.012820 7.036767 12.725449 23.374884 45.836954
2025-07-06 1.329928 2.268697 3.884133 6.960073 12.894105 24.314299 49.176082
2025-07-13 1.286952 2.237229 3.907677 7.164531 13.617835 26.409185 55.217092
2025-07-20 1.238788 2.192156 3.902088 7.311562 14.241435 28.370420 61.246590
2025-07-27 1.209548 2.178935 3.953096 7.571606 15.118419 30.953278 69.050129
2025-08-03 1.125187 2.056391 3.788781 7.387664 15.053003 31.519039 72.238682
2025-08-10 1.058656 1.962760 3.672403 7.289964 15.159403 32.468938 76.482643
2025-08-17 0.999679 1.879393 3.569498 7.210415 15.295807 33.498585 81.071802
2025-08-24 0.940476 1.791397 3.450792 7.086654 15.320380 34.271730 85.118559
2025-08-31 0.882808 1.702514 3.323823 6.933903 15.263150 34.844255 88.722139
2025-09-07 0.873146 1.709627 3.393106 7.216658 16.243975 38.030059 99.887506